As we cross the halfway point of 2025, mounting headwinds are slowing down global trade. A decade-long rise in trade restrictions has been supercharged by sharp tariff hikes and retaliatory measures from major economies over the past three months. Although some of these measures have since been rolled back and fresh negotiations are underway, businesses are still navigating choppy waters—including elevated policy uncertainty, stretched supply chains, and the ever-present threat of new barriers. In the face of this, we explore how these headwinds will likely reshape trade growth this year and next, identify the most critical risks ahead, and highlight the bright spots that could help steady the ship.
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Banking on Women Who Trade Across Borders
“Banking on Women Who Trade Across Borders” underscores the critical need for gender
equality in international trade and trade finance. Despite the documented positive impacts of women-owned businesses on economic growth and poverty reduction, a significant gap remains in understanding how international trade intersects with female participation, particularly in accessing trade finance. Drawing from interviews across Africa and Latin America, the report explores the challenges faced by female entrepreneurs and proposes solutions.
Global trade has nearly flatlined. Populism is taking a toll on growth
The World Trade Organization’s (WTO) top decision-making body will have every reason to fret when it meets on February 26. International trade—a key engine of global prosperity since the fall of the Berlin Wall— has ground nearly to a halt and is set to remain anemic in the coming years. In 2023, trade in goods and services expanded by the slenderest of argins, an estimated 0.2 percent, the slowest pace in 50 years outside of global recessions. It would have declined outright but for the growth of trade in services. Trade in goods shrank roughly 2 percent, the sharpest contraction during this century outside of a global recession. Trade growth will improve this year but it will still be half the average rate in the decade before the pandemic. In fact, by the end of 2024, global trade will register the slowest half-decade of growth since the 1990s.
Continue readingFDI drops and MIGA innovates
The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development recently reported that global foreign direct investment (FDI) flows dropped by almost a third in the second quarter of 2022, with flows to several emerging regions down significantly and flows to Africa near zero. The outlook for FDI next year is gloomy at best.
Trade restrictions are inflaming the worst food crisis in a decade
Trade to the Rescue: Unleashing Global Trade to Support Economic Growth
Higher prices are also impacting food security in some countries 
WASHINGTON, Oct. 21, 2021—Energy prices soared in the third quarter of 2021 and are expected to remain elevated in 2022, adding to global inflationary pressures and potentially shifting economic growth to energy-exporting countries from energy-importing ones.
Trade to the Rescue: Unleashing Global Trade to Support Economic Growth
Expanding trade flows can be part of the solutions to global challenges, when accompanied by the right policies. World Bank President David Malpass and WTO Director General Ngozi Onkonjo-Iweala discussed how global trade has limited the extend of the current global recession and laid out the practical steps countries could take to spread the benefits of trade more widely. Trade costs, on average, are equal to a 114 percent tariff on imported goods in developing countries. Much of that burden on consumers is the result of inefficient border procedures and poor transportation infrastructure. Trade facilitation reforms and investment in infrastructure could give a big boost to trade within regions. Betty Maina, Kenya’s Minister of Industrialization, Trade and Enterprise Development, spoke of how trade liberalization is a central part of her country’s aspirations for incomes and development.
“Trade can be a powerful catalyst for growth and social economic development and poverty reduction, particularly if we implement it with the poor in mind,” Maina said.
Leaders from the public and private sectors discussed the importance of investments in logistics and expanding trade finance that could strengthen the contribution of trade to economic recovery, and noted the ways that trade could help developing countries mitigate and adapt to climate change.
Making trade work for everyone
When I was Indonesia’s trade minister a decade ago, trade liberalization certainly did not have broad popular support.
eC2: PROVISION OF COMPREHENSIVE TRADE EFFLUENT WATER QUALITY ANALYSIS
Deadline: 15-Sep-2020 at 11:59:59 PM (Eastern Time – Washington D.C.) 
The scope of services under this RFP consists of the following:
Collect on-site composite samples from the industrial/commercial clients prioritized for sampling and analysis. Undertake effluent water quality analysis of collected samples covering all the typical pollutants limited and controlled by the utilities and guided by EMCA 1999 standards and regulations.
o The presence, concentrations and levels of contaminates to be analyzed should include but not limited to; toxic Metals (Chromium, Lead, Mercury, Zinc, Copper, etc.), Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD), Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD), Organics (Hydrocarbons, Pesticides, Herbicides), Flammable Substances. A tentative list is provided in Annex I. The final list will be concluded during the Inception stage.
o The following sectors have been preliminarily identified as high-risk and would be useful for consideration for sample effluent water analysis;
The role of trade in promoting women’s equality
New trends in global trade—especially the rise in services, global value chains, and the digital economy—are opening up important economic opportunities for women. A new report marks the first major effort to quantify how women are affected by trade through the use of a new gender-disaggregated labor dataset.



partly to blame. This is hardly a new phenomenon. 
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