Small AI, big bets: How the world’s most impactful AI startups will be built in emerging markets

Walk into a hospital in Nigeria, where one doctor serves every 9,000 patients–fifteen times the WHO-recommended ratio. Every minute that a doctor spends on administrative work is a minute taken from a patient who may have waited hours to be seen.

A Nigerian startup decided to do something about it. They built a voice-based tool that transcribes and structures clinical notes in real time, offline, on a small computer box installed right in the hospital ward. Doctors get time back. Patients get more of their attention. The startup did not adapt a tool built for a hospital in Boston or Berlin. They built it for the conditions on the ground in the language people speak. The result attracted investors and has a path to sustainable growth.

That story is not the exception. It is the blueprint.

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Is the “Lump of Labor Fallacy” Actually a Fallacy in Developing Economies

There is a persistent and intuitively appealing idea that haunts labor market policy debates in developing economies: that jobs are a fixed pie, and if an older worker keeps a slice, a young person goes hungry. In countries where youth unemployment is stubbornly, painfully high – think Morocco at over 35 percent for those aged 15-24, or Brazil’s substantial informal workforce – it can feel almost morally obvious that older workers should step aside and make room.

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Development against the odds

Across the world, progress in development has slowed. Yet some countries have found ways to make remarkable gains.

Consider the examples of Rwanda, the Kyrgyz Republic, Cambodia, and Ethiopia. Each shows that development gains remain possible when governments focus on practical reforms, invest in infrastructure, and build institutions that can deliver results. Their experiences are a reminder that while the global picture is troubling, stagnation is far from inevitable.

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Harnessing digital innovation to safeguard the Amazon: three pillars for action

The Amazon rainforest is not only the world’s largest tropical forest but also a linchpin for global environmental stability and biodiversity. Its vast expanse regulates rainfall, stores immense amounts of carbon, supports biodiversity and serves as the ancestral homeland for more than 420 Indigenous Peoples and their communities. Yet, the Amazon faces mounting threats: environmental changes, rampant deforestation, and socio-economic pressures are pushing this vital ecosystem toward a tipping point.  

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World Bank to Build Flood Resilience and Protect Jobs in Brazil’s Santa Catarina State

WASHINGTON, D.C., JULY 2, 2026 – The World Bank Group has announced a new project to support the State of Santa Catarina, Brazil, to reduce the risk of devastating floods and strengthen the state’s capacity to manage weather-related disasters, mitigating impacts on the economy while protecting jobs and lives.

The US$ 119.2 million project will benefit approximately 420,000 people across 54 municipalities, many of them low-income residents living in high-risk areas who stand to gain the most from lasting, reliable flood protection.

Santa Catarina is home to a diversified economy with strong manufacturing, technology, and agribusiness sectors. At its economic heart lies the Itajaí Valley, which generates approximately one-third of all jobs in the state. The Port of Itajaí — the second largest in Brazil by container throughput — anchors this dynamism, serving as a critical hub for beef exports and international trade.

The valley is also one of the most disaster-prone regions in the country. Between 1991 and 2023, flooding and landslides caused more than US$7.2 billion in economic losses across Santa Catarina, affecting more than 20 million people. The catastrophic 2008 floods left the city of Itajaí 90% underwater, forcing vessels to divert to neighboring states for months, at an estimated cost of US$35 million per day in lost port revenue. In the Itajaí Valley, unmanaged flood risk is a direct threat to jobs.

“Continued job generation and local prosperity in the region will depend on sustainable strategies to adapt to growing flood risks,” says Jorge Coarasa, World Bank Acting Country Director for Brazil.

Flood mitigation infrastructure in the Itajaí Valley is at the core of the project. Investments include river improvement works such as channel dredging, reinforcement of embankments, and floodgates along the Itajaí-Mirim River. The project will also support the construction of a series of flood control dams upstream, as part of a multi-year government investment program to mitigate flood impacts.

Additionally, early warning systems will be expanded across the entire state, improving coordination between climate monitoring and local civil defense agencies, ensuring faster, better-coordinated responses when extreme weather strikes. Tools will be developed to expand flood control solutions to incorporate nature-based solutions alongside traditional flood control measures.

This investment forms part of Santa Catarina’s ambitious “Proteção Levada a Sério” (Protection Taken Seriously) program, a multi-year, US$1 billion commitment to climate resilience across the state. The project’s approach is designed to be replicated in other river basins in Santa Catarina and to serve as a model for other flood-exposed states across Brazil and Latin America.

The project was prepared with support from the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR).

“Credit: World Bank Group. All rights reserved”

Energy security: The foundation of job creation

When gas supplies are disrupted, countries immediately feel the consequences: power systems buckle, factories slow down, and businesses scale back operations, directly affecting people’s livelihoods. These pressures are most acute in countries where flaring is highest, and energy access is most fragile.

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Turning Africa’s water crisis from an emergency to economic opportunity

Africa does not have a water problem. Africa has a water opportunity; what is missing is not the water, but the infrastructure, institutions, and financing needed to transform water into jobs, growth, food security, and resilience.

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